IDOS: The oppositional parties have an absolute majority in an eventual People’s Representative Assembly (VVV)

May 28, 2020

Narrowly missing the necessary two-third majority in Parliament should not be a reason for NDP and BEP to not allow for the direct election of a President and Vice-President in Parliament. The current opposition, according to the estimation of IDOS, has a minimum of 71.8 percent of the votes necessary to elect a President in the VVV. An absolute majority that will make a repetition of 1996 and 2010 very difficult.

 

The results of the parliamentary elections are in. The NDP has won 16 seats and in order to block the direct election of the President and Vice President they are dependent on BEP, their coalition partner. With their 18 seats, they can demand a VVV as all of the opposition combined narrowly missed the two-third majority in parliament - with one seat - so that they could directly elect the President and Vice President.

It is “common knowledge” that the counting of the RR-representatives can take some time and that much can be negotiated in that period. The question is if it is necessary for the NDP+ to apply such a strategy, even if it has worked in the past. In order to answer this question, IDOS will make an estimation of the playing field and show as to why it is unnecessary to demand a VVV meeting and with that have the poor government spend even more money. In a VVV, where the President is elected with the regular majority there are a total of 934 people’s representatives present. These are 51 DNA members 765 RR members and 118 DR members.

 

In order to come to an estimation for the amount of people’s representatives, IDOS used the following procedure. We looked into the votes that were cast on resort level. The argument here is that, if a voter has casted his vote, for example on the VHP, he will also cast his vote on all VHP candidates on RR level. This is not only the voting advice that parties give to their voters, but it is also common practice in Surinamese politics. For simplicity, they talk about “Color all”. In the case of the districts Para, Coronie, Brokopondo, Marowijne and Siplaliwini, where IDOS has no information of, the RR seats and DR seats – which are derived from it – are assigned based on the amount of DNA seats won by the party and how they compare to one another.

 

Based on this excerpt it is evident that the combined oppositional parties (VHP, ABOP, NPS and PL) have a minimum of 71.8 percent of the 934 votes that will be cast during such a VVV meeting.

 

 

 

The NDP and their current government partner would thus do well if they would give the current opposition the opportunity to elect the President and Vice President directly in Parliament. Stalling by demanding a VVV does not gain you anything except for unnecessary high costs, which we cannot carry. The oppositional parties have the absolute majority in this People’s Representative Assembly. Let the ratio lead. It is as simple as that.

 

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IDOS Research Suriname

Keizerstraat # 13

Paramaribo, Suriname | South America

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